NFL Betting Momentum: Teams Rising in the Odds This Season

Every NFL season begins with a mix of high expectations, bold predictions, and inevitable surprises. By the time the first few weeks play out, the betting landscape rarely looks the same as it did on opening day. Momentum builds quickly, and oddsmakers adjust just as fast.
Strong debuts from players, unexpected upsets, and early winning streaks can push a team from longshot to legitimate contender almost overnight.
For bettors, understanding these shifts is essential. Momentum doesn’t just change headlines; it moves the odds, shaping how fans and sportsbooks view the season ahead.
Teams Surging Into the Spotlight
Several franchises have seen their odds rise significantly in the early weeks, fueled by standout performances, coaching decisions, and surprising resilience.
Indianapolis Colts: From Underdogs to Contenders
The Colts entered the season without the weight of major expectations. Yet, within weeks, their outlook has changed dramatically. A balanced attack and the resurgence of their star running back have been central to this surge.
Their head coach, Shane Steichen, is currently one of the early favorites in coaching award betting markets, reflecting his role in the Colts’ surprising early-season success. Meanwhile, their quarterback, Daniel Jones, has demonstrated efficient play and steady improvement, although he has not yet significantly climbed mainstream MVP boards.
The Colts embody how momentum can completely rewrite preseason narratives, flipping them from underdogs to legitimate contenders in a matter of weeks.
Detroit Lions: Delivering on Preseason Promise
The Lions’ momentum story is different. Instead of surprising people, they’re living up to the hype. After years of rebuilding, the franchise is finally rewarding patient fans with meaningful wins and consistent play. Their early results have pushed them further into the spotlight, with bettors and analysts alike viewing them as possible division leaders.
Momentum, in this case, isn’t about defying expectations; it’s about fulfilling them.
Philadelphia Eagles: Winning but Under Scrutiny
On paper, an undefeated start should silence doubters. Yet for the Eagles, questions remain. While they’ve climbed into the conversation as one of the top Super Bowl favorites, concerns about offensive consistency and nagging injuries on the line have left analysts cautious.
It’s a reminder that momentum isn’t always linear. A team can rack up wins, but bettors know that cracks in execution can make the odds more volatile than the record suggests.
Buffalo Bills: Holding Strong at the Top
Consistency is king in betting markets, and the Bills are proving why. With a deep roster and a defense capable of keeping games under control, they’ve secured a position as one of the clear favorites for the championship.
While other teams are surging, the Bills’ steady dominance demonstrates how momentum can be maintained.
Underdogs Turning Heads
Momentum doesn’t belong only to the favorites. Several teams have flipped betting perceptions by outperforming expectations early.
The Patriots, despite a brutal schedule, have carved out wins that shifted them from longshot territory into more favorable playoff discussions. The Saints have also impressed, powered by a rushing attack that makes them difficult to prepare for on a week-to-week basis. In the NFC North, Jordan Love’s emergence has breathed new life into the Packers, especially at home, where confidence seems to grow with every pass.
Even the Rams, initially overlooked, have swung betting lines with their resilience against top opponents.
Tracking these kinds of shifts through updated FanDuel odds gives fans a real-time view of how momentum translates into market confidence. What starts as a single big win can quickly turn into a trend that reshapes the entire outlook for a season.
What’s Fueling the Momentum Shifts?
Momentum in the NFL isn’t random. A handful of factors consistently drive changes in the betting landscape:
- Early-Season Performance: Big wins or shocking upsets can cause dramatic swings in perception,
- Key Player Contributions: Quarterbacks and playmakers who elevate their teams drive sharper odds changes than almost anyone else,
- Injuries: A missing starter, particularly at quarterback or along the offensive line, can flip expectations for weeks,
- Public Betting Influence: Heavy action from fans can push sportsbooks to adjust lines, creating opportunities for contrarian bettors ,
- Matchup-Specific Trends: Certain teams struggle against specific styles of play, making head-to-head dynamics important,
- Weather Conditions: Outdoor stadiums and late-season storms often shape spreads and totals.
Together, these elements explain why some teams rise quickly while others stall out, even if their records look similar on paper.
Momentum’s Effect on Short-Term vs. Long-Term Bets
Momentum affects more than just a single Sunday. Its impact is visible across both short-term and long-term wagers.
Short-Term Game Bets
Momentum swings can create volatile live betting opportunities. A strong first half might drive halftime odds in one direction, only for a second-half collapse to reverse the outcome. Fans closely tracking tendencies, such as a defense wearing down or an offense finding rhythm, can take advantage of these shifts in real time.
Exploring upcoming NFL games and props gives bettors a clearer view of how these short-term storylines shape betting opportunities from week to week.
Long-Term Futures
Momentum also drives futures markets. Teams once dismissed in the preseason can climb steadily into the playoff conversation. The Colts’ dramatic turnaround is one example. Bettors who noticed the signs early had the chance to grab value before the odds shortened further.
For savvy fans, understanding momentum means identifying when the market has overreacted or when it hasn’t reacted enough.
Preseason Expectations vs. Current Reality
Momentum is also a story of how reality stacks up against the summer’s predictions.
The 49ers entered the year with a favorable schedule, and they’re proving the analysts right by looking like legitimate contenders. The Packers, once seen as the clear favorite for their division, now find themselves sharing that spotlight with rivals after uneven results. Meanwhile, the Broncos, often overlooked, have emerged as a sneaky playoff contender.
These shifts show why clinging to preseason narratives can be costly. Momentum rewrites the script every week, and odds move with it.
Staying Ahead in a Season of Shifting Odds
Momentum is powerful, but it’s never permanent. Injuries, schedule shifts, and unexpected slumps will continue to reshape the betting picture throughout the season. For fans and bettors, the key is staying flexible.
Teams that are surging today may stumble tomorrow, while overlooked underdogs can rise from nowhere to shake up the playoff race.
The season’s story is far from finished, and the next big shift is always just one Sunday away.
*Content reflects information available as of 02/10/2025; subject to change